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In just over five months, every bottle of e-liquid sold in the UK gets more expensive. The Vaping Products Duty, announced in 2024 and confirmed for October 1, 2026, adds a per-millilitre charge to nicotine and zero-nicotine e-liquids. Plus VAT. The number being widely quoted is around two to three pounds extra per 10ml on top of current retail. For someone going through five 10ml bottles a month, that’s roughly ten to fifteen pounds extra a month. Not catastrophic but not nothing either. Conversations across the trade and on the consumer side have already started about what to do. Three patterns have emerged in customer behaviour over the spring of 2026. The first is what you’d expect: modest stockpiling. Most retailers report customers buying ahead of normal cadence, particularly on flavours they use heavily. The practical limit on this is shelf life. Most e-liquids carry a 24-month best-before from manufacture, so buying more than six months ahead is usually fine but anything longer starts to get into territory where flavour can fade or steep. The second pattern is strength stepping. Some heavy 20mg users have been moving to 10mg salts, both as a way to ration nicotine intake against a higher per-bottle cost and because reducing strength has been on a lot of people’s plans anyway. The October date is acting as a deadline to actually do it. The third is brand consolidation. People who used to rotate through six or seven flavour brands are starting to settle on two or three favourites. The economic logic is simple: if every bottle costs an extra few quid, paying for a flavour that turns out to be average becomes a bigger annoyance than it used to be. Shane Margereson, founder of Ecigone, one of the UK’s longer-established independent vape retailers, has noted in conversation with industry press that the run-up to October is reshaping how customers approach their flavour shop. The pattern is buying more deliberately, returning to bottles they know they enjoy, and being more willing to invest in trying premium options that justify the cost. What about the brands themselves? Most are absorbing some of the cost rather than passing it all on. Industry insiders expect average retail prices to rise by less than the duty alone implies, partly because of competitive pressure and partly because brands have been preparing for over a year. The squeeze is real but not as bad as the headline number suggests. For anyone vaping recreationally rather than as a smoking-cessation tool, October will be a moment of reckoning. The cost calculus that made vaping the obvious cheaper choice over cigarettes still works, but with a smaller margin. For ex-smokers, the comparison still favours vaping by a wide distance even after the duty. Practically, if you’re a regular UK vaper, the sensible moves between now and October look like this. Settle on the two or three flavours you genuinely enjoy. Keep your monthly bottle count modest rather than hoarding. Consider whether you actually need 20mg or could move down. And expect prices to rise less dramatically than the duty rate would suggest, but rise they will.